- Author
- Tahir Choulli, Catherine Daveloose (UGent) and Michèle Vanmaele (UGent)
- Organization
- Abstract
- This paper addresses the risk-minimization problem, with and without mortality securitization, a la Follmer-Sondermann for a large class of equity-linked mortality contracts when no model for the death time is specified. This framework includes situations in which the correlation between the market model and the time of death is arbitrary general, and hence leads to the case of a market model where there are two levels of information-the public information, which is generated by the financial assets, and a larger flow of information that contains additional knowledge about the death time of an insured. By enlarging the filtration, the death uncertainty and its entailed risk are fully considered without any mathematical restriction. Our key tool lies in our optional martingale representation, which states that any martingale in the large filtration stopped at the death time can be decomposed into precise orthogonal local martingales. This allows us to derive the dynamics of the value processes of the mortality/longevity securities used for the securitization, and to decompose any mortality/longevity liability into the sum of orthogonal risks by means of a risk basis. The first main contribution of this paper resides in quantifying, as explicitly as possible, the effect of mortality on the risk-minimizing strategy by determining the optimal strategy in the enlarged filtration in terms of strategies in the smaller filtration. Our second main contribution consists of finding risk-minimizing strategies with insurance securitization by investing in stocks and one (or more) mortality/longevity derivatives such as longevity bonds. This generalizes the existing literature on risk-minimization using mortality securitization in many directions.
- Keywords
- LIFE-INSURANCE LIABILITIES, MERGING ACTUARIAL JUDGMENT, CAPITAL-MARKETS, LONGEVITY RISK, VALUATION, DECOMPOSITION, BONDS, DEATH, time of death, random horizon, default, progressively enlarged, filtration, optional martingale representation, risk decomposition, unit-linked mortality contracts, risk-minimization, mortality, longevity, risk, insurance securitization
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Citation
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication: http://hdl.handle.net/1854/LU-8720371
- MLA
- Choulli, Tahir, et al. “Mortality/Longevity Risk-Minimization with or without Securitization.” MATHEMATICS, vol. 9, no. 14, 2021, doi:10.3390/math9141629.
- APA
- Choulli, T., Daveloose, C., & Vanmaele, M. (2021). Mortality/longevity risk-minimization with or without securitization. MATHEMATICS, 9(14). https://doi.org/10.3390/math9141629
- Chicago author-date
- Choulli, Tahir, Catherine Daveloose, and Michèle Vanmaele. 2021. “Mortality/Longevity Risk-Minimization with or without Securitization.” MATHEMATICS 9 (14). https://doi.org/10.3390/math9141629.
- Chicago author-date (all authors)
- Choulli, Tahir, Catherine Daveloose, and Michèle Vanmaele. 2021. “Mortality/Longevity Risk-Minimization with or without Securitization.” MATHEMATICS 9 (14). doi:10.3390/math9141629.
- Vancouver
- 1.Choulli T, Daveloose C, Vanmaele M. Mortality/longevity risk-minimization with or without securitization. MATHEMATICS. 2021;9(14).
- IEEE
- [1]T. Choulli, C. Daveloose, and M. Vanmaele, “Mortality/longevity risk-minimization with or without securitization,” MATHEMATICS, vol. 9, no. 14, 2021.
@article{8720371, abstract = {{This paper addresses the risk-minimization problem, with and without mortality securitization, a la Follmer-Sondermann for a large class of equity-linked mortality contracts when no model for the death time is specified. This framework includes situations in which the correlation between the market model and the time of death is arbitrary general, and hence leads to the case of a market model where there are two levels of information-the public information, which is generated by the financial assets, and a larger flow of information that contains additional knowledge about the death time of an insured. By enlarging the filtration, the death uncertainty and its entailed risk are fully considered without any mathematical restriction. Our key tool lies in our optional martingale representation, which states that any martingale in the large filtration stopped at the death time can be decomposed into precise orthogonal local martingales. This allows us to derive the dynamics of the value processes of the mortality/longevity securities used for the securitization, and to decompose any mortality/longevity liability into the sum of orthogonal risks by means of a risk basis. The first main contribution of this paper resides in quantifying, as explicitly as possible, the effect of mortality on the risk-minimizing strategy by determining the optimal strategy in the enlarged filtration in terms of strategies in the smaller filtration. Our second main contribution consists of finding risk-minimizing strategies with insurance securitization by investing in stocks and one (or more) mortality/longevity derivatives such as longevity bonds. This generalizes the existing literature on risk-minimization using mortality securitization in many directions.}}, articleno = {{1629}}, author = {{Choulli, Tahir and Daveloose, Catherine and Vanmaele, Michèle}}, issn = {{2227-7390}}, journal = {{MATHEMATICS}}, keywords = {{LIFE-INSURANCE LIABILITIES,MERGING ACTUARIAL JUDGMENT,CAPITAL-MARKETS,LONGEVITY RISK,VALUATION,DECOMPOSITION,BONDS,DEATH,time of death,random horizon,default,progressively enlarged,filtration,optional martingale representation,risk decomposition,unit-linked mortality contracts,risk-minimization,mortality,longevity,risk,insurance securitization}}, language = {{eng}}, number = {{14}}, pages = {{27}}, title = {{Mortality/longevity risk-minimization with or without securitization}}, url = {{http://doi.org/10.3390/math9141629}}, volume = {{9}}, year = {{2021}}, }
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