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Techno-economic analysis of residential thermal flexibility for demand side management

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Abstract
The continuing rise in solar and wind production leads to an increasing demand of flexibility to stabilize the electricity grid. Furthermore, we can assume a gradual but intensive rise in the use of electrical heatpumps for household spatial heating, for different reasons. Therefore, this paper investigates the feasibility and viability of entering the flexibility market by aggregating residential thermal loads. For this research, a dataset of 200 dwellings in the Netherlands, equipped with a heatpump and smart metering infrastructure, is analysed. By means of a greybox modeling approach, a thermal model and control framework have been set up for every house, in order to identify the load shift potential and the accompanying cost of providing flexibility for the houses. We find that thermal flexibility is asymmetric: downwards flexibility is, apart from much more dependent on outdoor temperature than upwards flexibility, strictly lower than upwards flexibility. The cost for downwards flexibility is strictly negative in terms of the prosumer. Concerning upwards flexibility, the cost is most of the time positive. Moreover, it can be concluded that there is a potentially viable business case for the flexibility aggregator.
Keywords
demand side management, thermal modelling, flexibility markets, techno-economics

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Citation

Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:

MLA
Devriese, Jan, et al. “Techno-Economic Analysis of Residential Thermal Flexibility for Demand Side Management.” Proceedings of the 58th International FITCE Congress & 10th CTTE Conference, 2019.
APA
Devriese, J., Degrande, T., Mihaylov, M., Verbrugge, S., & Colle, D. (2019). Techno-economic analysis of residential thermal flexibility for demand side management. In Proceedings of the 58th International FITCE Congress & 10th CTTE Conference. Ghent, Belgium.
Chicago author-date
Devriese, Jan, Thibault Degrande, M. Mihaylov, Sofie Verbrugge, and Didier Colle. 2019. “Techno-Economic Analysis of Residential Thermal Flexibility for Demand Side Management.” In Proceedings of the 58th International FITCE Congress & 10th CTTE Conference.
Chicago author-date (all authors)
Devriese, Jan, Thibault Degrande, M. Mihaylov, Sofie Verbrugge, and Didier Colle. 2019. “Techno-Economic Analysis of Residential Thermal Flexibility for Demand Side Management.” In Proceedings of the 58th International FITCE Congress & 10th CTTE Conference.
Vancouver
1.
Devriese J, Degrande T, Mihaylov M, Verbrugge S, Colle D. Techno-economic analysis of residential thermal flexibility for demand side management. In: Proceedings of the 58th International FITCE Congress & 10th CTTE Conference. 2019.
IEEE
[1]
J. Devriese, T. Degrande, M. Mihaylov, S. Verbrugge, and D. Colle, “Techno-economic analysis of residential thermal flexibility for demand side management,” in Proceedings of the 58th International FITCE Congress & 10th CTTE Conference, Ghent, Belgium, 2019.
@inproceedings{8631663,
  abstract     = {The continuing rise in solar and wind production leads to an increasing demand of flexibility to stabilize the electricity grid. Furthermore, we can assume a gradual but intensive rise in the use of electrical heatpumps for household spatial heating, for different reasons. Therefore, this paper investigates the feasibility and viability of entering the flexibility market by aggregating residential thermal loads. For this research, a dataset of 200 dwellings in the Netherlands, equipped with a heatpump and smart metering infrastructure, is analysed. By means of a greybox modeling approach, a thermal model and control framework have been set up for every house, in order to identify the load shift potential and the accompanying cost of providing flexibility for the houses. We find that thermal flexibility is asymmetric: downwards flexibility is, apart from much more dependent on outdoor temperature than upwards flexibility, strictly lower than upwards flexibility. The cost for downwards flexibility is strictly negative in terms of the prosumer. Concerning upwards flexibility, the cost is most of the time positive. Moreover, it can be concluded that there is a potentially viable business case for the flexibility aggregator.},
  author       = {Devriese, Jan and Degrande, Thibault and Mihaylov, M. and Verbrugge, Sofie and Colle, Didier},
  booktitle    = {Proceedings of the 58th International FITCE Congress & 10th CTTE Conference},
  isbn         = {9789463963305},
  keywords     = {demand side management,thermal modelling,flexibility markets,techno-economics},
  language     = {eng},
  location     = {Ghent, Belgium},
  pages        = {6},
  title        = {Techno-economic analysis of residential thermal flexibility for demand side management},
  url          = {https://cttefitce2019.eu/},
  year         = {2019},
}