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Burden of salmonellosis, campylobacteriosis and listeriosis : a time series analysis, Belgium, 2012 to 2020

(2017) EUROSURVEILLANCE. 22(38).
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Abstract
Salmonellosis, campylobacteriosis and listeriosis are food-borne diseases. We estimated and forecasted the number of cases of these three diseases in Belgium from 2012 to 2020, and calculated the corresponding number of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). The salmonellosis time series was fitted with a Bai and Perron two-breakpoint model, while a dynamic linear model was used for campylobacteriosis and a Poisson autoregressive model for listeriosis. The average monthly number of cases of salmonellosis was 264 (standard deviation (SD): 86) in 2012 and predicted to be 212 (SD: 87) in 2020; campylobacteriosis case numbers were 633 (SD: 81) and 1,081 (SD: 311); listeriosis case numbers were 5 (SD: 2) in 2012 and 6 (SD: 3) in 2014. After applying correction factors, the estimated DALYs for salmonellosis were 102 (95% uncertainty interval (UI): 8–376) in 2012 and predicted to be 82 (95% UI: 6–310) in 2020; campylobacteriosis DALYs were 1,019 (95% UI: 137–3,181) and 1,736 (95% UI: 178–5,874); listeriosis DALYs were 208 (95% UI: 192–226) in 2012 and 252 (95% UI: 200–307) in 2014. New actions are needed to reduce the risk of food-borne infection with Campylobacter spp. because campylobacteriosis incidence may almost double through 2020.
Keywords
DISEASE BURDEN, PUBLIC-HEALTH, HEPATITIS-B, NETHERLANDS, RISK, METAANALYSIS, INFECTIONS, PATHOGENS, MODELS, BIOSURVEILLANCE

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Chicago
Maertens de Noordhout, Charline, Brecht Devleesschauwer, Juanita A Haagsma, Arie H Havelaar, Sophie Bertrand, Olivier Vandenberg, Sophie Quoilin, Patrick T Brandt, and Niko Speybroeck. 2017. “Burden of Salmonellosis, Campylobacteriosis and Listeriosis : a Time Series Analysis, Belgium, 2012 to 2020.” Eurosurveillance 22 (38).
APA
Maertens de Noordhout, C., Devleesschauwer, B., Haagsma, J. A., Havelaar, A. H., Bertrand, S., Vandenberg, O., Quoilin, S., et al. (2017). Burden of salmonellosis, campylobacteriosis and listeriosis : a time series analysis, Belgium, 2012 to 2020. EUROSURVEILLANCE, 22(38).
Vancouver
1.
Maertens de Noordhout C, Devleesschauwer B, Haagsma JA, Havelaar AH, Bertrand S, Vandenberg O, et al. Burden of salmonellosis, campylobacteriosis and listeriosis : a time series analysis, Belgium, 2012 to 2020. EUROSURVEILLANCE. 2017;22(38).
MLA
Maertens de Noordhout, Charline, Brecht Devleesschauwer, Juanita A Haagsma, et al. “Burden of Salmonellosis, Campylobacteriosis and Listeriosis : a Time Series Analysis, Belgium, 2012 to 2020.” EUROSURVEILLANCE 22.38 (2017): n. pag. Print.
@article{8558236,
  abstract     = {Salmonellosis, campylobacteriosis and listeriosis are food-borne diseases. We estimated and forecasted the number of cases of these three diseases in Belgium from 2012 to 2020, and calculated the corresponding number of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). The salmonellosis time series was fitted with a Bai and Perron two-breakpoint model, while a dynamic linear model was used for campylobacteriosis and a Poisson autoregressive model for listeriosis. The average monthly number of cases of salmonellosis was 264 (standard deviation (SD): 86) in 2012 and predicted to be 212 (SD: 87) in 2020; campylobacteriosis case numbers were 633 (SD: 81) and 1,081 (SD: 311); listeriosis case numbers were 5 (SD: 2) in 2012 and 6 (SD: 3) in 2014. After applying correction factors, the estimated DALYs for salmonellosis were 102 (95\% uncertainty interval (UI): 8--376) in 2012 and predicted to be 82 (95\% UI: 6--310) in 2020; campylobacteriosis DALYs were 1,019 (95\% UI: 137--3,181) and 1,736 (95\% UI: 178--5,874); listeriosis DALYs were 208 (95\% UI: 192--226) in 2012 and 252 (95\% UI: 200--307) in 2014. New actions are needed to reduce the risk of food-borne infection with Campylobacter spp. because campylobacteriosis incidence may almost double through 2020.},
  articleno    = {30615},
  author       = {Maertens de Noordhout, Charline and Devleesschauwer, Brecht and Haagsma, Juanita A and Havelaar, Arie H and Bertrand, Sophie and Vandenberg, Olivier and Quoilin, Sophie and Brandt, Patrick T and Speybroeck, Niko},
  issn         = {1560-7917},
  journal      = {EUROSURVEILLANCE},
  keyword      = {DISEASE BURDEN,PUBLIC-HEALTH,HEPATITIS-B,NETHERLANDS,RISK,METAANALYSIS,INFECTIONS,PATHOGENS,MODELS,BIOSURVEILLANCE},
  language     = {eng},
  number       = {38},
  pages        = {13},
  title        = {Burden of salmonellosis, campylobacteriosis and listeriosis : a time series analysis, Belgium, 2012 to 2020},
  url          = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.es.2017.22.38.30615},
  volume       = {22},
  year         = {2017},
}

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