Advanced search
1 file | 992.19 KB

No better moment to score a goal than just before half time? A soccer myth statistically tested

Stijn Baert (UGent) and Simon Amez (UGent)
(2018) PLOS ONE. 13(3).
Author
Organization
Abstract
We test the soccer myth suggesting that a particularly good moment to score a goal is just before half time. To this end, rich data on 1,179 games played in the UEFA Champions League and UEFA Europa League are analysed. In contrast to the myth, we find that, conditional on the goal difference and other game characteristics at half time, the final goal difference at the advantage of the home team is 0.520 goals lower in case of a goal just before half time by this team. We show that this finding relates to this team’s lower probability of scoring a goal during the second half.
Keywords
soccer, sports, goal scoring, fixed effects regression

Downloads

  • No better moment to score a goal than just before half time.pdf
    • full text
    • |
    • open access
    • |
    • PDF
    • |
    • 992.19 KB

Citation

Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:

Chicago
Baert, Stijn, and Simon Amez. 2018. “No Better Moment to Score a Goal Than Just Before Half Time? A Soccer Myth Statistically Tested.” Plos One 13 (3).
APA
Baert, Stijn, & Amez, S. (2018). No better moment to score a goal than just before half time? A soccer myth statistically tested. PLOS ONE, 13(3).
Vancouver
1.
Baert S, Amez S. No better moment to score a goal than just before half time? A soccer myth statistically tested. PLOS ONE. Public Library of Science (PLoS); 2018;13(3).
MLA
Baert, Stijn, and Simon Amez. “No Better Moment to Score a Goal Than Just Before Half Time? A Soccer Myth Statistically Tested.” PLOS ONE 13.3 (2018): n. pag. Print.
@article{8556348,
  abstract     = {We test the soccer myth suggesting that a particularly good moment to score a goal is just before half time. To this end, rich data on 1,179 games played in the UEFA Champions League and UEFA Europa League are analysed. In contrast to the myth, we find that, conditional on the goal difference and other game characteristics at half time, the final goal difference at the advantage of the home team is 0.520 goals lower in case of a goal just before half time by this team. We show that this finding relates to this team{\textquoteright}s lower probability of scoring a goal during the second half.},
  articleno    = {e0194255},
  author       = {Baert, Stijn and Amez, Simon},
  issn         = {1932-6203},
  journal      = {PLOS ONE},
  keyword      = {soccer,sports,goal scoring,fixed effects regression},
  language     = {eng},
  number       = {3},
  publisher    = {Public Library of Science (PLoS)},
  title        = {No better moment to score a goal than just before half time? A soccer myth statistically tested},
  url          = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0194255},
  volume       = {13},
  year         = {2018},
}

Altmetric
View in Altmetric
Web of Science
Times cited: