Beyond rational expectations: the effects of heuristic switching in an overlapping generations model
- Author
- Brecht Boone (UGent) and Ewoud Quaghebeur (UGent)
- Organization
- Abstract
- We explore the transitional dynamics in an Overlapping Generations framework with and without heuristic switching. Agents use simple heuristics to forecast the interest rate and the real wage. The fraction of agents using a specific heuristic depends on its relative forecasting performance. In the absence of heuristic switching, the results indicate that there is a lot of variation in the transitional dynamics over different parameter values and heuristics. They might even oscillate or diverge. Including heuristic switching has two advantages. First, it decreases the variation in the transitional dynamics significantly. Second, it has a stabilising effect on oscillating or diverging transitional dynamics.
- Keywords
- Heuristic switching, heterogeneous agents, fiscal policy, transitional dynamics, overlapping generations
Downloads
-
(...).pdf
- full text
- |
- UGent only
- |
- |
- 865.51 KB
Citation
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication: http://hdl.handle.net/1854/LU-8547532
- MLA
- Boone, Brecht, and Ewoud Quaghebeur. “Beyond Rational Expectations: The Effects of Heuristic Switching in an Overlapping Generations Model.” JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR & ORGANIZATION, vol. 155, Elsevier, 2018, pp. 349–64, doi:10.1016/j.jebo.2018.09.007.
- APA
- Boone, B., & Quaghebeur, E. (2018). Beyond rational expectations: the effects of heuristic switching in an overlapping generations model. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR & ORGANIZATION, 155, 349–364. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2018.09.007
- Chicago author-date
- Boone, Brecht, and Ewoud Quaghebeur. 2018. “Beyond Rational Expectations: The Effects of Heuristic Switching in an Overlapping Generations Model.” JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR & ORGANIZATION 155: 349–64. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2018.09.007.
- Chicago author-date (all authors)
- Boone, Brecht, and Ewoud Quaghebeur. 2018. “Beyond Rational Expectations: The Effects of Heuristic Switching in an Overlapping Generations Model.” JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR & ORGANIZATION 155: 349–364. doi:10.1016/j.jebo.2018.09.007.
- Vancouver
- 1.Boone B, Quaghebeur E. Beyond rational expectations: the effects of heuristic switching in an overlapping generations model. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR & ORGANIZATION. 2018;155:349–64.
- IEEE
- [1]B. Boone and E. Quaghebeur, “Beyond rational expectations: the effects of heuristic switching in an overlapping generations model,” JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR & ORGANIZATION, vol. 155, pp. 349–364, 2018.
@article{8547532,
abstract = {{We explore the transitional dynamics in an Overlapping Generations framework with and without heuristic switching. Agents use simple heuristics to forecast the interest rate and the real wage. The fraction of agents using a specific heuristic depends on its relative forecasting performance. In the absence of heuristic switching, the results indicate that there is a lot of variation in the transitional dynamics over different parameter values and heuristics. They might even oscillate or diverge. Including heuristic switching has two advantages. First, it decreases the variation in the transitional dynamics significantly. Second, it has a stabilising effect on oscillating or diverging transitional dynamics.}},
author = {{Boone, Brecht and Quaghebeur, Ewoud}},
issn = {{0167-2681}},
journal = {{JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR & ORGANIZATION}},
keywords = {{Heuristic switching,heterogeneous agents,fiscal policy,transitional dynamics,overlapping generations}},
language = {{eng}},
pages = {{349--364}},
publisher = {{Elsevier}},
title = {{Beyond rational expectations: the effects of heuristic switching in an overlapping generations model}},
url = {{http://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2018.09.007}},
volume = {{155}},
year = {{2018}},
}
- Altmetric
- View in Altmetric
- Web of Science
- Times cited: