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Assessment of the announced North Korean nuclear test using long-range atmospheric transport and dispersion modelling

Pieter De Meutter (UGent) , Johan Camps, Andy Delcloo (UGent) and Piet Termonia (UGent)
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Abstract
On 6 January 2016, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea announced to have conducted its fourth nuclear test. Analysis of the corresponding seismic waves from the Punggye-ri nuclear test site showed indeed that an underground man-made explosion took place, although the nuclear origin of the explosion needs confirmation. Seven weeks after the announced nuclear test, radioactive xenon was observed in Japan by a noble gas measurement station of the International Monitoring System. In this paper, atmospheric transport modelling is used to show that the measured radioactive xenon is compatible with a delayed release from the Punggye-ri nuclear test site. An uncertainty quantification on the modelling results is given by using the ensemble method. The latter is important for policy makers and helps advance data fusion, where different nuclear Test-Ban-Treaty monitoring techniques are combined.
Keywords
MEDICAL ISOTOPE PRODUCTION, TEST-BAN TREATY, INTERNATIONAL MONITORING-SYSTEM, ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM, SOURCE-TERM ESTIMATION, RADIOXENON RELEASES, XENON, XE-133, VERIFICATION, EXPLOSIONS

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Citation

Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:

Chicago
De Meutter, Pieter, Johan Camps, Andy Delcloo, and Piet Termonia. 2017. “Assessment of the Announced North Korean Nuclear Test Using Long-range Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Modelling.” Scientific Reports 7.
APA
De Meutter, P., Camps, J., Delcloo, A., & Termonia, P. (2017). Assessment of the announced North Korean nuclear test using long-range atmospheric transport and dispersion modelling. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, 7.
Vancouver
1.
De Meutter P, Camps J, Delcloo A, Termonia P. Assessment of the announced North Korean nuclear test using long-range atmospheric transport and dispersion modelling. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS. 2017;7.
MLA
De Meutter, Pieter, Johan Camps, Andy Delcloo, et al. “Assessment of the Announced North Korean Nuclear Test Using Long-range Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Modelling.” SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 7 (2017): n. pag. Print.
@article{8540575,
  abstract     = {On 6 January 2016, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea announced to have conducted its fourth nuclear test. Analysis of the corresponding seismic waves from the Punggye-ri nuclear test site showed indeed that an underground man-made explosion took place, although the nuclear origin of the explosion needs confirmation. Seven weeks after the announced nuclear test, radioactive xenon was observed in Japan by a noble gas measurement station of the International Monitoring System. In this paper, atmospheric transport modelling is used to show that the measured radioactive xenon is compatible with a delayed release from the Punggye-ri nuclear test site. An uncertainty quantification on the modelling results is given by using the ensemble method. The latter is important for policy makers and helps advance data fusion, where different nuclear Test-Ban-Treaty monitoring techniques are combined.},
  articleno    = {8762},
  author       = {De Meutter, Pieter and Camps, Johan and Delcloo, Andy and Termonia, Piet},
  issn         = {2045-2322},
  journal      = {SCIENTIFIC REPORTS},
  keyword      = {MEDICAL ISOTOPE PRODUCTION,TEST-BAN TREATY,INTERNATIONAL MONITORING-SYSTEM,ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM,SOURCE-TERM ESTIMATION,RADIOXENON RELEASES,XENON,XE-133,VERIFICATION,EXPLOSIONS},
  language     = {eng},
  pages        = {9},
  title        = {Assessment of the announced North Korean nuclear test using long-range atmospheric transport and dispersion modelling},
  url          = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-07113-y},
  volume       = {7},
  year         = {2017},
}

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