Advanced search
1 file | 367.90 KB Add to list

Research synthesis methods in an age of globalized risks: lessons from the global burden of foodborne disease expert elicitation

(2016) RISK ANALYSIS. 36(2). p.191-202
Author
Organization
Abstract
We live in an age that increasingly calls for national or regional management of global risks. This article discusses the contributions that expert elicitation can bring to efforts to manage global risks and identifies challenges faced in conducting expert elicitation at this scale. In doing so it draws on lessons learned from conducting an expert elicitation as part of the World Health Organizations (WHO) initiative to estimate the global burden of foodborne disease; a study commissioned by the Foodborne Disease Epidemiology Reference Group (FERG). Expert elicitation is designed to fill gaps in data and research using structured, transparent methods. Such gaps are a significant challenge for global risk modeling. Experience with the WHO FERG expert elicitation shows that it is feasible to conduct an expert elicitation at a global scale, but that challenges do arise, including: defining an informative, yet feasible geographical structure for the elicitation; defining what constitutes expertise in a global setting; structuring international, multidisciplinary expert panels; and managing demands on experts' time in the elicitation. This article was written as part of a workshop, Methods for Research Synthesis: A Cross-Disciplinary Approach held at the Harvard Center for Risk Analysis on October 13, 2013.
Keywords
exposure estimates, foodborne illness, expert judgment, expert elicitation, Disease burden, research synthesis, source attribution, systematic review, uncertainty quantification, ADJUSTED LIFE YEARS, PATHOGENS, JUDGMENT, FOOD, MODEL

Downloads

  • (...)
    • full text
    • |
    • UGent only
    • |
    • PDF
    • |
    • 367.90 KB

Citation

Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:

MLA
Hald, Tine et al. “Research Synthesis Methods in an Age of Globalized Risks: Lessons from the Global Burden of Foodborne Disease Expert Elicitation.” RISK ANALYSIS 2016 : 191–202. Print.
APA
Hald, T., Angulo, F., Bin Hamzah, W. M., Bellinger, D., Black, R., de Silva, N., Döpfer, D., et al. (2016). Research synthesis methods in an age of globalized risks: lessons from the global burden of foodborne disease expert elicitation. RISK ANALYSIS.
Chicago author-date
Hald, Tine, Fred Angulo, Wan Mansor Bin Hamzah, David Bellinger, Robert Black, Nilanthi de Silva, Dörte Döpfer, et al. 2016. “Research Synthesis Methods in an Age of Globalized Risks: Lessons from the Global Burden of Foodborne Disease Expert Elicitation.” Risk Analysis.
Chicago author-date (all authors)
Hald, Tine, Fred Angulo, Wan Mansor Bin Hamzah, David Bellinger, Robert Black, Nilanthi de Silva, Dörte Döpfer, Arie Havelaar, Herman Gibb, Fumiko Kasuga, Rob Lake, Muhammad B Rokni, Niko Speybroeck, Willy Aspinall, Roger Cooke, Sandra Hoffmann, Brecht Devleesschauwer, and Sara M Pires. 2016. “Research Synthesis Methods in an Age of Globalized Risks: Lessons from the Global Burden of Foodborne Disease Expert Elicitation.” Risk Analysis.
Vancouver
1.
Hald T, Angulo F, Bin Hamzah WM, Bellinger D, Black R, de Silva N, et al. Research synthesis methods in an age of globalized risks: lessons from the global burden of foodborne disease expert elicitation. RISK ANALYSIS. 2016. p. 191–202.
IEEE
[1]
T. Hald et al., “Research synthesis methods in an age of globalized risks: lessons from the global burden of foodborne disease expert elicitation,” RISK ANALYSIS, vol. 36, no. 2. pp. 191–202, 2016.
@misc{7284376,
  abstract     = {We live in an age that increasingly calls for national or regional management of global risks. This article discusses the contributions that expert elicitation can bring to efforts to manage global risks and identifies challenges faced in conducting expert elicitation at this scale. In doing so it draws on lessons learned from conducting an expert elicitation as part of the World Health Organizations (WHO) initiative to estimate the global burden of foodborne disease; a study commissioned by the Foodborne Disease Epidemiology Reference Group (FERG). Expert elicitation is designed to fill gaps in data and research using structured, transparent methods. Such gaps are a significant challenge for global risk modeling. Experience with the WHO FERG expert elicitation shows that it is feasible to conduct an expert elicitation at a global scale, but that challenges do arise, including: defining an informative, yet feasible geographical structure for the elicitation; defining what constitutes expertise in a global setting; structuring international, multidisciplinary expert panels; and managing demands on experts' time in the elicitation. This article was written as part of a workshop, Methods for Research Synthesis: A Cross-Disciplinary Approach held at the Harvard Center for Risk Analysis on October 13, 2013.},
  author       = {Hald, Tine and Angulo, Fred and Bin Hamzah, Wan Mansor and Bellinger, David and Black, Robert and de Silva, Nilanthi and Döpfer, Dörte and Havelaar, Arie and Gibb, Herman and Kasuga, Fumiko and Lake, Rob and Rokni, Muhammad B and Speybroeck, Niko and Aspinall, Willy and Cooke, Roger and Hoffmann, Sandra and Devleesschauwer, Brecht and Pires, Sara M},
  issn         = {0272-4332},
  keywords     = {exposure estimates,foodborne illness,expert judgment,expert elicitation,Disease burden,research synthesis,source attribution,systematic review,uncertainty quantification,ADJUSTED LIFE YEARS,PATHOGENS,JUDGMENT,FOOD,MODEL},
  language     = {eng},
  number       = {2},
  pages        = {191--202},
  series       = {RISK ANALYSIS},
  title        = {Research synthesis methods in an age of globalized risks: lessons from the global burden of foodborne disease expert elicitation},
  url          = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/risa.12385},
  volume       = {36},
  year         = {2016},
}

Altmetric
View in Altmetric
Web of Science
Times cited: