
Climate change impact on the hydrology of a typical watershed in the Tianshan Mountains
- Author
- Gonghuan Fang (UGent) , Jing Yang, Yaning Chen, Shuhua Zhang, Haijun Deng, Haimeng Liu and Philippe De Maeyer (UGent)
- Organization
- Abstract
- To study the impact of future climatic changes on hydrology in the Kaidu River Basin in the Tianshan Mountains, two sets of future climatic data were used to force a well-calibrated hydrologic model: one is bias-corrected regional climate model (RCM) outputs for RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 future emission scenarios, and the other is simple climate change (SCC) with absolute temperature change of -1 similar to 6 degrees C and relative precipitation change of -20%similar to 60%. Results show the following: (1) temperature is likely to increase by 2.2 degrees C and 4.6 degrees C by the end of the 21st century under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively, while precipitation will increase by 2%similar to 24%, with a significant rise in the dry season and small change in the wet season; (2) flow will change by -1%similar to 20%, while evapotranspiration will increase by 2%similar to 24%; (3) flow increases almost linearly with precipitation, while its response to temperature depends on the magnitude of temperature change and flow decrease is significant when temperature increase is greater than 2 degrees C; (4) similar results were obtained for simulations with RCM outputs and with SCC for mild climate change conditions, while results were significantly different for intense climate change conditions.
- Keywords
- RUNOFF, UNCERTAINTY, MODEL, FUTURE, RIVER-BASIN, TIEN-SHAN, ARID REGION, CENTRAL-ASIA, NORTHWEST CHINA, HEADWATER CATCHMENT
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Please use this url to cite or link to this publication: http://hdl.handle.net/1854/LU-7083565
- MLA
- Fang, Gonghuan et al. “Climate Change Impact on the Hydrology of a Typical Watershed in the Tianshan Mountains.” ADVANCES IN METEOROLOGY (2015): n. pag. Print.
- APA
- Fang, G., Yang, J., Chen, Y., Zhang, S., Deng, H., Liu, H., & De Maeyer, P. (2015). Climate change impact on the hydrology of a typical watershed in the Tianshan Mountains. ADVANCES IN METEOROLOGY.
- Chicago author-date
- Fang, Gonghuan, Jing Yang, Yaning Chen, Shuhua Zhang, Haijun Deng, Haimeng Liu, and Philippe De Maeyer. 2015. “Climate Change Impact on the Hydrology of a Typical Watershed in the Tianshan Mountains.” Advances in Meteorology.
- Chicago author-date (all authors)
- Fang, Gonghuan, Jing Yang, Yaning Chen, Shuhua Zhang, Haijun Deng, Haimeng Liu, and Philippe De Maeyer. 2015. “Climate Change Impact on the Hydrology of a Typical Watershed in the Tianshan Mountains.” Advances in Meteorology.
- Vancouver
- 1.Fang G, Yang J, Chen Y, Zhang S, Deng H, Liu H, et al. Climate change impact on the hydrology of a typical watershed in the Tianshan Mountains. ADVANCES IN METEOROLOGY. 2015;
- IEEE
- [1]G. Fang et al., “Climate change impact on the hydrology of a typical watershed in the Tianshan Mountains,” ADVANCES IN METEOROLOGY, 2015.
@article{7083565, abstract = {To study the impact of future climatic changes on hydrology in the Kaidu River Basin in the Tianshan Mountains, two sets of future climatic data were used to force a well-calibrated hydrologic model: one is bias-corrected regional climate model (RCM) outputs for RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 future emission scenarios, and the other is simple climate change (SCC) with absolute temperature change of -1 similar to 6 degrees C and relative precipitation change of -20%similar to 60%. Results show the following: (1) temperature is likely to increase by 2.2 degrees C and 4.6 degrees C by the end of the 21st century under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively, while precipitation will increase by 2%similar to 24%, with a significant rise in the dry season and small change in the wet season; (2) flow will change by -1%similar to 20%, while evapotranspiration will increase by 2%similar to 24%; (3) flow increases almost linearly with precipitation, while its response to temperature depends on the magnitude of temperature change and flow decrease is significant when temperature increase is greater than 2 degrees C; (4) similar results were obtained for simulations with RCM outputs and with SCC for mild climate change conditions, while results were significantly different for intense climate change conditions.}, articleno = {960471}, author = {Fang, Gonghuan and Yang, Jing and Chen, Yaning and Zhang, Shuhua and Deng, Haijun and Liu, Haimeng and De Maeyer, Philippe}, issn = {1687-9309}, journal = {ADVANCES IN METEOROLOGY}, keywords = {RUNOFF,UNCERTAINTY,MODEL,FUTURE,RIVER-BASIN,TIEN-SHAN,ARID REGION,CENTRAL-ASIA,NORTHWEST CHINA,HEADWATER CATCHMENT}, language = {eng}, pages = {10}, title = {Climate change impact on the hydrology of a typical watershed in the Tianshan Mountains}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/960471}, year = {2015}, }
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