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Development of a quantitative microbial risk assessment for human Salmonellosis through household consumption of fresh minced pork meat in Belgium

Kaatje Els Bollaerts, Winy Messens, Laurent Delhalle, Marc Aerts, Yves Van der Stede, Jeroen Dewulf UGent, Sophie Quoillin, Dominiek Maes UGent, Koen Mintiens and Koen Grijspeerdt (2009) RISK ANALYSIS. 29(6). p.820-840
abstract
A quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) according to the Codex Alimentarius Principles is conducted to evaluate the risk of human salmonellosis through household consumption of fresh minced pork meat in Belgium. The quantitative exposure assessment is carried out by building a modular risk model, called the METZOON-model, which covers the pork production from farm to fork. In the METZOON-model, the food production pathway is split up in six consecutive modules: (1) primary production, (2) transport and lairage, (3) slaughterhouse, (4) postprocessing, (5) distribution and storage, and (6) preparation and consumption. All the modules are developed to resemble as closely as possible the Belgian situation, making use of the available national data. Several statistical refinements and improved modeling techniques are proposed. The model produces highly realistic results. The baseline predicted number of annual salmonellosis cases is 20,513 (SD 9061.45). The risk is estimated higher for the susceptible population (estimate 4.713 x 10(-5); SD 1.466 x 10(-5)) compared to the normal population (estimate 7.704 x 10(-6); SD 5.414 x 10(-6)) and is mainly due to undercooking and to a smaller extent to cross-contamination in the kitchen via cook's hands.
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
organization
year
type
journalArticle (original)
publication status
published
subject
keyword
QUANTIFICATION, CARCASSES, FOOD, DOMESTIC KITCHEN, CAMPYLOBACTER, IDENTIFICATION, fresh minced pork meat, modular risk model, quantitative microbial risk assessment, Salmonella, PIG SLAUGHTERHOUSES, BACTERIAL CROSS-CONTAMINATION, MODELS, SPP., Farm to fork
journal title
RISK ANALYSIS
Risk Anal.
volume
29
issue
6
pages
820 - 840
Web of Science type
Article
Web of Science id
000265775900006
JCR category
SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS
JCR impact factor
1.953 (2009)
JCR rank
5/38 (2009)
JCR quartile
1 (2009)
ISSN
0272-4332
DOI
10.1111/j.1539-6924.2009.01223.x
language
English
UGent publication?
no
classification
A1
copyright statement
I have transferred the copyright for this publication to the publisher
id
673038
handle
http://hdl.handle.net/1854/LU-673038
date created
2009-05-30 14:43:17
date last changed
2016-12-19 15:43:36
@article{673038,
  abstract     = {A quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) according to the Codex Alimentarius Principles is conducted to evaluate the risk of human salmonellosis through household consumption of fresh minced pork meat in Belgium. The quantitative exposure assessment is carried out by building a modular risk model, called the METZOON-model, which covers the pork production from farm to fork. In the METZOON-model, the food production pathway is split up in six consecutive modules: (1) primary production, (2) transport and lairage, (3) slaughterhouse, (4) postprocessing, (5) distribution and storage, and (6) preparation and consumption. All the modules are developed to resemble as closely as possible the Belgian situation, making use of the available national data. Several statistical refinements and improved modeling techniques are proposed. The model produces highly realistic results. The baseline predicted number of annual salmonellosis cases is 20,513 (SD 9061.45). The risk is estimated higher for the susceptible population (estimate 4.713 x 10(-5); SD 1.466 x 10(-5)) compared to the normal population (estimate 7.704 x 10(-6); SD 5.414 x 10(-6)) and is mainly due to undercooking and to a smaller extent to cross-contamination in the kitchen via cook's hands.},
  author       = {Bollaerts, Kaatje Els and Messens, Winy and Delhalle, Laurent and Aerts, Marc and Van der Stede, Yves and Dewulf, Jeroen and Quoillin, Sophie and Maes, Dominiek and Mintiens, Koen and Grijspeerdt, Koen},
  issn         = {0272-4332},
  journal      = {RISK ANALYSIS},
  keyword      = {QUANTIFICATION,CARCASSES,FOOD,DOMESTIC KITCHEN,CAMPYLOBACTER,IDENTIFICATION,fresh minced pork meat,modular risk model,quantitative microbial risk assessment,Salmonella,PIG SLAUGHTERHOUSES,BACTERIAL CROSS-CONTAMINATION,MODELS,SPP.,Farm to fork},
  language     = {eng},
  number       = {6},
  pages        = {820--840},
  title        = {Development of a quantitative microbial risk assessment for human Salmonellosis through household consumption of fresh minced pork meat in Belgium},
  url          = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2009.01223.x},
  volume       = {29},
  year         = {2009},
}

Chicago
Bollaerts, Kaatje Els, Winy Messens, Laurent Delhalle, Marc Aerts, Yves Van der Stede, Jeroen Dewulf, Sophie Quoillin, Dominiek Maes, Koen Mintiens, and Koen Grijspeerdt. 2009. “Development of a Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment for Human Salmonellosis Through Household Consumption of Fresh Minced Pork Meat in Belgium.” Risk Analysis 29 (6): 820–840.
APA
Bollaerts, K. E., Messens, W., Delhalle, L., Aerts, M., Van der Stede, Y., Dewulf, J., Quoillin, S., et al. (2009). Development of a quantitative microbial risk assessment for human Salmonellosis through household consumption of fresh minced pork meat in Belgium. RISK ANALYSIS, 29(6), 820–840.
Vancouver
1.
Bollaerts KE, Messens W, Delhalle L, Aerts M, Van der Stede Y, Dewulf J, et al. Development of a quantitative microbial risk assessment for human Salmonellosis through household consumption of fresh minced pork meat in Belgium. RISK ANALYSIS. 2009;29(6):820–40.
MLA
Bollaerts, Kaatje Els, Winy Messens, Laurent Delhalle, et al. “Development of a Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment for Human Salmonellosis Through Household Consumption of Fresh Minced Pork Meat in Belgium.” RISK ANALYSIS 29.6 (2009): 820–840. Print.