Advanced search
1 file | 3.17 MB Add to list
Author
Organization
Abstract
Nuclear safeguards are a set of activities to verify that a State is living up to its international undertakings not to use nuclear programs for nuclear weapons purposes. International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) uses a hierarchical assessment system that is composed of critical activities in the nuclear fuel cycle, processes required for the activities, and the indicators to evaluate the processes. IAEA experts benefit from several sources to evaluate the indicators such as State declarations, on-site inspections, IAEA databases, and open sources. One of the most important problems in nuclear safeguards evaluation (NSE) is observed in the aggregation of the multiple expert evaluations. In this study, a methodology is proposed to solve this problem where fuzzy linguistic terms are proposed to represent the expert evaluations and cumulative belief degrees (CBDs) are applied to aggregate the evaluations. CBD is introduced based on belief structure, which is developed on the basis of decision theory and Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence. The study also presents a numerical example to show the applicability of the proposed methodology.
Keywords
EVIDENTIAL REASONING APPROACH, UNCERTAINTY, nuclear safeguards, fuzzy linguistic terms, cumulative belief degree, decision making

Downloads

  • (...).pdf
    • full text
    • |
    • UGent only
    • |
    • PDF
    • |
    • 3.17 MB

Citation

Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:

MLA
Kabak, Özgür, and Da Ruan. “A Cumulative Belief-degree Approach for Nuclear Safeguards Evaluation.” IEEE International Conference on Systems Man and Cybernetics Conference Proceedings. New York, NY, USA: IEEE, 2009. 2216–2221. Print.
APA
Kabak, Ö., & Ruan, D. (2009). A cumulative belief-degree approach for nuclear safeguards evaluation. IEEE International Conference on Systems Man and Cybernetics Conference Proceedings (pp. 2216–2221). Presented at the 2009 IEEE International conference on Systems, Man and Cybernetics (SMC 2009), New York, NY, USA: IEEE.
Chicago author-date
Kabak, Özgür, and Da Ruan. 2009. “A Cumulative Belief-degree Approach for Nuclear Safeguards Evaluation.” In IEEE International Conference on Systems Man and Cybernetics Conference Proceedings, 2216–2221. New York, NY, USA: IEEE.
Chicago author-date (all authors)
Kabak, Özgür, and Da Ruan. 2009. “A Cumulative Belief-degree Approach for Nuclear Safeguards Evaluation.” In IEEE International Conference on Systems Man and Cybernetics Conference Proceedings, 2216–2221. New York, NY, USA: IEEE.
Vancouver
1.
Kabak Ö, Ruan D. A cumulative belief-degree approach for nuclear safeguards evaluation. IEEE International Conference on Systems Man and Cybernetics Conference Proceedings. New York, NY, USA: IEEE; 2009. p. 2216–21.
IEEE
[1]
Ö. Kabak and D. Ruan, “A cumulative belief-degree approach for nuclear safeguards evaluation,” in IEEE International Conference on Systems Man and Cybernetics Conference Proceedings, San Antonio, TX, USA, 2009, pp. 2216–2221.
@inproceedings{2918808,
  abstract     = {Nuclear safeguards are a set of activities to verify that a State is living up to its international undertakings not to use nuclear programs for nuclear weapons purposes. International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) uses a hierarchical assessment system that is composed of critical activities in the nuclear fuel cycle, processes required for the activities, and the indicators to evaluate the processes. IAEA experts benefit from several sources to evaluate the indicators such as State declarations, on-site inspections, IAEA databases, and open sources. One of the most important problems in nuclear safeguards evaluation (NSE) is observed in the aggregation of the multiple expert evaluations. In this study, a methodology is proposed to solve this problem where fuzzy linguistic terms are proposed to represent the expert evaluations and cumulative belief degrees (CBDs) are applied to aggregate the evaluations. CBD is introduced based on belief structure, which is developed on the basis of decision theory and Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence. The study also presents a numerical example to show the applicability of the proposed methodology.},
  author       = {Kabak, Özgür and Ruan, Da},
  booktitle    = {IEEE International Conference on Systems Man and Cybernetics Conference Proceedings},
  isbn         = {9781424427932},
  issn         = {1062-922X},
  keywords     = {EVIDENTIAL REASONING APPROACH,UNCERTAINTY,nuclear safeguards,fuzzy linguistic terms,cumulative belief degree,decision making},
  language     = {eng},
  location     = {San Antonio, TX, USA},
  pages        = {2216--2221},
  publisher    = {IEEE},
  title        = {A cumulative belief-degree approach for nuclear safeguards evaluation},
  url          = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ICSMC.2009.5345908},
  year         = {2009},
}

Altmetric
View in Altmetric
Web of Science
Times cited: