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Street-level theft opportunities are conditioned by neighborhood context

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Abstract
Environmental criminology emphasizes that crime opportunities are shaped by micro-level features of the built environment, yet less is known about how these effects vary across neighborhood contexts for theft. This study examines police-recorded theft across 6,991 street segments nested within 15 neighborhoods in Aalst, Belgium (2023–2024), using multilevel negative binomial models. Theft was associated with intersection density, linearity, road type, human activity intensity, residential instability, and ethnic diversity. Cross-level interactions showed that street-level opportunity effects varied by neighborhood context, with most being stronger in more socially advantaged neighborhoods, highlighting the contextual nature of theft opportunities.
Keywords
PROPERTY CRIME, CONFIGURATION, LOCATION, BURGLARS, RISK

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Citation

Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:

MLA
Van De Walle, Stephanie, and Christophe Vandeviver. “Street-Level Theft Opportunities Are Conditioned by Neighborhood Context.” DEVIANT BEHAVIOR, 2026, doi:10.1080/01639625.2026.2705312.
APA
Van De Walle, S., & Vandeviver, C. (2026). Street-level theft opportunities are conditioned by neighborhood context. DEVIANT BEHAVIOR. https://doi.org/10.1080/01639625.2026.2705312
Chicago author-date
Van De Walle, Stephanie, and Christophe Vandeviver. 2026. “Street-Level Theft Opportunities Are Conditioned by Neighborhood Context.” DEVIANT BEHAVIOR. https://doi.org/10.1080/01639625.2026.2705312.
Chicago author-date (all authors)
Van De Walle, Stephanie, and Christophe Vandeviver. 2026. “Street-Level Theft Opportunities Are Conditioned by Neighborhood Context.” DEVIANT BEHAVIOR. doi:10.1080/01639625.2026.2705312.
Vancouver
1.
Van De Walle S, Vandeviver C. Street-level theft opportunities are conditioned by neighborhood context. DEVIANT BEHAVIOR. 2026;
IEEE
[1]
S. Van De Walle and C. Vandeviver, “Street-level theft opportunities are conditioned by neighborhood context,” DEVIANT BEHAVIOR, 2026.
@article{01KZNV4Z9JRG3Y0NZ8HSY9BM53,
  abstract     = {{Environmental criminology emphasizes that crime opportunities are shaped by micro-level features of the built environment, yet less is known about how these effects vary across neighborhood contexts for theft. This study examines police-recorded theft across 6,991 street segments nested within 15 neighborhoods in Aalst, Belgium (2023–2024), using multilevel negative binomial models. Theft was associated with intersection density, linearity, road type, human activity intensity, residential instability, and ethnic diversity. Cross-level interactions showed that street-level opportunity effects varied by neighborhood context, with most being stronger in more socially advantaged neighborhoods, highlighting the contextual nature of theft opportunities.}},
  author       = {{Van De Walle, Stephanie and Vandeviver, Christophe}},
  issn         = {{0163-9625}},
  journal      = {{DEVIANT BEHAVIOR}},
  keywords     = {{PROPERTY CRIME,CONFIGURATION,LOCATION,BURGLARS,RISK}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  pages        = {{24}},
  title        = {{Street-level theft opportunities are conditioned by neighborhood context}},
  url          = {{http://doi.org/10.1080/01639625.2026.2705312}},
  year         = {{2026}},
}

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