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Effects of climate change on the metabolic ecology of small yellow croaker (Larimichthys polyactis) based on dynamic energy budget (DEB) model

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Abstract
Climate change is increasingly affecting marine organisms at both global and regional scales. Understanding how individual-level metabolism responds to climate change is crucial for elucidating the mechanisms driving population dynamics. This study aims to evaluate how future climate change affect the physiological activities, growth, and reproduction of small yellow croakers Larimichthys polyactis, a key commercial fish species in China Sea, through the lens of individual energy budgets. We applied the Dynamic Energy Budget (DEB) model to investigate the effects of environmental conditions (e.g., temperature, salinity, and food density) on the growth, development, and reproduction of fish individuals under different climate scenarios. The results showed that, in most climate scenarios (RCP2.6-2100, RCP4.5-2050, RCP8.5-2100), the energy allocated to assimilation, mobilization, and maintenance in small yellow croakers would increase, leading to faster growth and enhanced reproductive potential. However, under the extreme warming scenario (RCP8.5-2100), their growth slows down, and reproductive strategies would shift towards extended spawning seasons with lower intensity. Additionally, the energy dynamics of smaller individuals are more inclined to change due to climate change compared to more matured individuals. These climate-driven changes in physiological activities related to growth and reproduction might significantly impact population dynamics, introducing considerable uncertainty in the assessment and management of small yellow croaker resources. This study could help to assess the impact of climate change on population continuity and thermal physiology of important marine species. The methods could also be extended to other species and marine ecosystems, which could benefit the conservation and management of marine fisheries under future climate change.
Keywords
Larimichthys polyactis, Climate change, Dynamic energy budget, Population sustainability, Feeding strategy, HAIZHOU BAY, COVARIATION METHOD, EUROPEAN ANCHOVY, BODY-SIZE, TEMPERATURE, GROWTH, RESPONSES, PERFORMANCE, PARAMETERS, RELEVANCE

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MLA
Chen, Xiaolin, et al. “Effects of Climate Change on the Metabolic Ecology of Small Yellow Croaker (Larimichthys Polyactis) Based on Dynamic Energy Budget (DEB) Model.” MARINE ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH, vol. 213, 2026, doi:10.1016/j.marenvres.2025.107656.
APA
Chen, X., Yin, J., Song, Y., Song, F., Xu, B., Zhang, C., … Xue, Y. (2026). Effects of climate change on the metabolic ecology of small yellow croaker (Larimichthys polyactis) based on dynamic energy budget (DEB) model. MARINE ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH, 213. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marenvres.2025.107656
Chicago author-date
Chen, Xiaolin, Jie Yin, Yehui Song, Fengjiao Song, Binduo Xu, Chongliang Zhang, Yupeng Ji, et al. 2026. “Effects of Climate Change on the Metabolic Ecology of Small Yellow Croaker (Larimichthys Polyactis) Based on Dynamic Energy Budget (DEB) Model.” MARINE ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 213. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marenvres.2025.107656.
Chicago author-date (all authors)
Chen, Xiaolin, Jie Yin, Yehui Song, Fengjiao Song, Binduo Xu, Chongliang Zhang, Yupeng Ji, Yiping Ren, Long Tuan Ho, Marie Anne Eurie Forio, Peter Goethals, and Ying Xue. 2026. “Effects of Climate Change on the Metabolic Ecology of Small Yellow Croaker (Larimichthys Polyactis) Based on Dynamic Energy Budget (DEB) Model.” MARINE ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 213. doi:10.1016/j.marenvres.2025.107656.
Vancouver
1.
Chen X, Yin J, Song Y, Song F, Xu B, Zhang C, et al. Effects of climate change on the metabolic ecology of small yellow croaker (Larimichthys polyactis) based on dynamic energy budget (DEB) model. MARINE ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH. 2026;213.
IEEE
[1]
X. Chen et al., “Effects of climate change on the metabolic ecology of small yellow croaker (Larimichthys polyactis) based on dynamic energy budget (DEB) model,” MARINE ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH, vol. 213, 2026.
@article{01K8X0SEBHXK5HY39787358969,
  abstract     = {{Climate change is increasingly affecting marine organisms at both global and regional scales. Understanding how individual-level metabolism responds to climate change is crucial for elucidating the mechanisms driving population dynamics. This study aims to evaluate how future climate change affect the physiological activities, growth, and reproduction of small yellow croakers Larimichthys polyactis, a key commercial fish species in China Sea, through the lens of individual energy budgets. We applied the Dynamic Energy Budget (DEB) model to investigate the effects of environmental conditions (e.g., temperature, salinity, and food density) on the growth, development, and reproduction of fish individuals under different climate scenarios. The results showed that, in most climate scenarios (RCP2.6-2100, RCP4.5-2050, RCP8.5-2100), the energy allocated to assimilation, mobilization, and maintenance in small yellow croakers would increase, leading to faster growth and enhanced reproductive potential. However, under the extreme warming scenario (RCP8.5-2100), their growth slows down, and reproductive strategies would shift towards extended spawning seasons with lower intensity. Additionally, the energy dynamics of smaller individuals are more inclined to change due to climate change compared to more matured individuals. These climate-driven changes in physiological activities related to growth and reproduction might significantly impact population dynamics, introducing considerable uncertainty in the assessment and management of small yellow croaker resources. This study could help to assess the impact of climate change on population continuity and thermal physiology of important marine species. The methods could also be extended to other species and marine ecosystems, which could benefit the conservation and management of marine fisheries under future climate change.}},
  articleno    = {{107656}},
  author       = {{Chen, Xiaolin and Yin, Jie and Song, Yehui and Song, Fengjiao and Xu, Binduo and Zhang, Chongliang and Ji, Yupeng and Ren, Yiping and Ho, Long Tuan and Forio, Marie Anne Eurie and Goethals, Peter and Xue, Ying}},
  issn         = {{0141-1136}},
  journal      = {{MARINE ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH}},
  keywords     = {{Larimichthys polyactis,Climate change,Dynamic energy budget,Population sustainability,Feeding strategy,HAIZHOU BAY,COVARIATION METHOD,EUROPEAN ANCHOVY,BODY-SIZE,TEMPERATURE,GROWTH,RESPONSES,PERFORMANCE,PARAMETERS,RELEVANCE}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  pages        = {{11}},
  title        = {{Effects of climate change on the metabolic ecology of small yellow croaker (Larimichthys polyactis) based on dynamic energy budget (DEB) model}},
  url          = {{http://doi.org/10.1016/j.marenvres.2025.107656}},
  volume       = {{213}},
  year         = {{2026}},
}

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