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Pledge, review, repeat : understanding the drivers and constraints of climate ambition

(2025)
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Abstract
This dissertation examines the drivers and constraints of climate ambition under the pledge-and-review architecture of the Paris Agreement. The Paris Agreement introduced both a domestic and a performative turn in global climate governance. Countries are now required to submit nationally determined contributions or climate pledges every five years, with the expectation that each round will reflect increased ambition. It is within this context that I explore how and why climate ambition forms and spreads. To explore how climate ambition spreads under the pledge-and-review architecture of the Paris Agreement, I employ three perspectives: a normative, legal-institutional, and sociological-institutional lens. Each perspective guides an investigation of a different dimension of climate ambition. First, I analyse the rapid diffusion of net zero as a global climate norm, using norm life cycle theory. Second, I examine the legal potential of institutional linkage between the Paris Agreement and EU Trade agreements. Finally, I investigate whether climate pledges are influenced by the ambition levels of peer countries. These analyses lead to three key findings. First, the Paris Agreement’s pledge-and-review mechanism has shaped state behaviour, countering claims that dismiss the Agreement as ineffective and mere ‘performative’. Second, institutions are key to spreading climate ambition, not just by coordinating efforts, but by embedding ambition in legal frameworks. Third, climate ambition spreads through both institutional interaction—different institutions and or-ganisations supporting climate ambition by linking their regimes—and through peer influence groups among countries with shared characteristics. This dissertation contributes to our understanding of climate ambition and offers new insights into global climate governance. It adds to the literature by focusing on how the Paris Agreement’s pledge-and-review process drives ambition. Though crucial questions remain about how and whether these climate pledges will be implemented, the Agreement has proven to be effective in raising and promoting climate ambition over time.
In dit proefschrift onderzoek ik de determinanten van klimaatambitie onder het pledge-and-review raamwerk van het Parijsakkoord. Het Parijsakkoord introduceerde zowel een binnenlandse als een performatieve logica in internationaal klimaatbeleid. Landen moeten nu elke vijf jaar klimaatdoelstellingen of nationally determined contributions formuleren, met de normatieve verwachting dat de ambitie in deze doelstellingen stelselmatig stijgt. Het is in deze context dat ik onderzoek hoe klimaatambitie ontstaat en zich verspreidt. Om te onderzoeken hoe klimaatambitie zich verspreidt onder de pledge-and-review-architectuur van het Parijsakkoord, gebruik ik een raamwerk met drie analytische lenzen: een normatief, legaal-institutioneel en sociologisch-institutioneel perspectief. Elke lens gidst een analyse van een verschillende dimensie van klimaatambitie. Eerst onderzoek ik aan de hand van de levenscyclustheorie van normen de snelle verspreiding van net zero als een internationale klimaatnorm. Ten tweede analyseer ik het legale potentieel van de institu-tionele link tussen het Parijsakkoord en EU handelsverdragen. Als laatste onderzoek ik hoe landen beïnvloed kunnen worden door de klimaatambitie van hun peers. Deze analyses brengen mij tot drie centrale inzichten. Een eerste inzicht is dat het Parijsakkoord het gedrag van staten heeft beïnvloed, wat ingaat tegen kritieken dat het Parijsakkoord ineffectief en louter performatief is. Ten tweede belicht ik het belang van instituties in het verspreiden van klimaatambitie, niet alleen in het coördineren van klimaatambitie, maar in het verankeren ervan in wettelijke raamwerken. Ten derde vind ik dat klimaatambitie zich verspreidt door zowel institutionele interactie, waar verschillende organisaties en instituties klimaatambitie ondersteunen zich aan elkaar te verbinden, alsook door de invloed van peer-groepen van landen met gedeelde kenmerken. Dit proefschrift draagt bij tot ons begrip van klimaatambitie en biedt nieuwe inzichten op internationaal klimaatbeleid. Het draagt bij tot de literatuur door zich te focussen op hoe het pledge-and-review proces van het Parijsakkoord ambitie aandrijft. Hoewel er nog steeds cruciale vragen zijn rond hoe en of deze doelstellingen geïmplementeerd worden, heeft het Parijsakkoord aangetoond dat het effectief is in het verhogen en promoten van klimaatambitie.
Keywords
Paris Agreement, Global Climate Governance, Climate Ambition

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MLA
Van Coppenolle, Hermine. Pledge, Review, Repeat : Understanding the Drivers and Constraints of Climate Ambition. Ghent University. Faculty of Political and Social Sciences, 2025.
APA
Van Coppenolle, H. (2025). Pledge, review, repeat : understanding the drivers and constraints of climate ambition. Ghent University. Faculty of Political and Social Sciences, Ghent, Belgium.
Chicago author-date
Van Coppenolle, Hermine. 2025. “Pledge, Review, Repeat : Understanding the Drivers and Constraints of Climate Ambition.” Ghent, Belgium: Ghent University. Faculty of Political and Social Sciences.
Chicago author-date (all authors)
Van Coppenolle, Hermine. 2025. “Pledge, Review, Repeat : Understanding the Drivers and Constraints of Climate Ambition.” Ghent, Belgium: Ghent University. Faculty of Political and Social Sciences.
Vancouver
1.
Van Coppenolle H. Pledge, review, repeat : understanding the drivers and constraints of climate ambition. [Ghent, Belgium]: Ghent University. Faculty of Political and Social Sciences; 2025.
IEEE
[1]
H. Van Coppenolle, “Pledge, review, repeat : understanding the drivers and constraints of climate ambition,” Ghent University. Faculty of Political and Social Sciences, Ghent, Belgium, 2025.
@phdthesis{01K4PRA5XP95KPBP0FT5AFDKEG,
  abstract     = {{This dissertation examines the drivers and constraints of climate ambition under the pledge-and-review architecture of the Paris Agreement. The Paris Agreement introduced both a domestic and a performative turn in global climate governance. Countries are now required to submit nationally determined contributions or climate pledges every five years, with the expectation that each round will reflect increased ambition. It is within this context that I explore how and why climate ambition forms and spreads.
To explore how climate ambition spreads under the pledge-and-review architecture of the Paris Agreement, I employ three perspectives: a normative, legal-institutional, and sociological-institutional lens. Each perspective guides an investigation of a different dimension of climate ambition. First, I analyse the rapid diffusion of net zero as a global climate norm, using norm life cycle theory. Second, I examine the legal potential of institutional linkage between the Paris Agreement and EU Trade agreements. Finally, I investigate whether climate pledges are influenced by the ambition levels of peer countries. 
These analyses lead to three key findings. First, the Paris Agreement’s pledge-and-review mechanism has shaped state behaviour, countering claims that dismiss the Agreement as ineffective and mere ‘performative’. Second, institutions are key to spreading climate ambition, not just by coordinating efforts, but by embedding ambition in legal frameworks. Third, climate ambition spreads through both institutional interaction—different institutions and or-ganisations supporting climate ambition by linking their regimes—and through peer influence groups among countries with shared characteristics.
This dissertation contributes to our understanding of climate ambition and offers new insights into global climate governance. It adds to the literature by focusing on how the Paris Agreement’s pledge-and-review process drives ambition. Though crucial questions remain about how and whether these climate pledges will be implemented, the Agreement has proven to be effective in raising and promoting climate ambition over time.}},
  author       = {{Van Coppenolle, Hermine}},
  keywords     = {{Paris Agreement,Global Climate Governance,Climate Ambition}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  pages        = {{XVI, 227}},
  publisher    = {{Ghent University. Faculty of Political and Social Sciences}},
  school       = {{Ghent University}},
  title        = {{Pledge, review, repeat : understanding the drivers and constraints of climate ambition}},
  year         = {{2025}},
}