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Microclimate and forest density drive plant population dynamics under climate change

Pieter Sanczuk (UGent) , Karen De Pauw (UGent) , Emiel De Lombaerde (UGent) , Miska Luoto, Camille Meeussen, Sanne Govaert, Thomas Vanneste (UGent) , Leen Depauw (UGent) , Jörg Brunet, Sara A. O. Cousins, et al.
(2023) NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE. 13(8). p.840-847
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Abstract
Macroclimatic changes are impacting ecosystems worldwide. However, a large portion of terrestrial species live under conditions where impacts of macroclimate change are buffered, such as in the shade of trees, and how this buffering impacts future below-canopy biodiversity redistributions at the continental scale is unknown. Here we show that shady forest floors due to dense tree canopies mitigate severe warming impacts on forest biodiversity, while canopy opening amplifies macroclimate change impacts. A cross-continental transplant experiment in five contrasting biogeographical areas combined with experimental heating and irradiation treatments was used to parametize 25-m resolution mechanistic demographic distribution models and project the current and future distributions of 12 common understorey plant species, considering the effects of forest microclimate and forest cover density. These results highlight microclimates and forest density as powerful tools for forest managers and policymakers to shelter forest biodiversity from climate change. The impacts of microclimate on future plant population dynamics are poorly understood. The authors use large-scale transplant climate change experiments to show the contribution of forest microclimates to population dynamics and project the distributions of 12 common understorey plants.
Keywords
INTEGRAL PROJECTION MODELS, SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONS, BIOTIC INTERACTIONS, RESPONSES, RANGE, IMPACTS, LIFE

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Citation

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MLA
Sanczuk, Pieter, et al. “Microclimate and Forest Density Drive Plant Population Dynamics under Climate Change.” NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, vol. 13, no. 8, 2023, pp. 840–47, doi:10.1038/s41558-023-01744-y.
APA
Sanczuk, P., De Pauw, K., De Lombaerde, E., Luoto, M., Meeussen, C., Govaert, S., … De Frenne, P. (2023). Microclimate and forest density drive plant population dynamics under climate change. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 13(8), 840–847. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01744-y
Chicago author-date
Sanczuk, Pieter, Karen De Pauw, Emiel De Lombaerde, Miska Luoto, Camille Meeussen, Sanne Govaert, Thomas Vanneste, et al. 2023. “Microclimate and Forest Density Drive Plant Population Dynamics under Climate Change.” NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 13 (8): 840–47. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01744-y.
Chicago author-date (all authors)
Sanczuk, Pieter, Karen De Pauw, Emiel De Lombaerde, Miska Luoto, Camille Meeussen, Sanne Govaert, Thomas Vanneste, Leen Depauw, Jörg Brunet, Sara A. O. Cousins, Cristina Gasperini, Per-Ola Hedwall, Giovanni Iacopetti, Jonathan Lenoir, Jan Plue, Federico Selvi, Fabien Spicher, Jaime Uria-Diez, Kris Verheyen, Pieter Vangansbeke, and Pieter De Frenne. 2023. “Microclimate and Forest Density Drive Plant Population Dynamics under Climate Change.” NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 13 (8): 840–847. doi:10.1038/s41558-023-01744-y.
Vancouver
1.
Sanczuk P, De Pauw K, De Lombaerde E, Luoto M, Meeussen C, Govaert S, et al. Microclimate and forest density drive plant population dynamics under climate change. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE. 2023;13(8):840–7.
IEEE
[1]
P. Sanczuk et al., “Microclimate and forest density drive plant population dynamics under climate change,” NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, vol. 13, no. 8, pp. 840–847, 2023.
@article{01HG35DKYW7SAMXHCP8K578F4P,
  abstract     = {{Macroclimatic changes are impacting ecosystems worldwide. However, a large portion of terrestrial species live under conditions where impacts of macroclimate change are buffered, such as in the shade of trees, and how this buffering impacts future below-canopy biodiversity redistributions at the continental scale is unknown. Here we show that shady forest floors due to dense tree canopies mitigate severe warming impacts on forest biodiversity, while canopy opening amplifies macroclimate change impacts. A cross-continental transplant experiment in five contrasting biogeographical areas combined with experimental heating and irradiation treatments was used to parametize 25-m resolution mechanistic demographic distribution models and project the current and future distributions of 12 common understorey plant species, considering the effects of forest microclimate and forest cover density. These results highlight microclimates and forest density as powerful tools for forest managers and policymakers to shelter forest biodiversity from climate change. The impacts of microclimate on future plant population dynamics are poorly understood. The authors use large-scale transplant climate change experiments to show the contribution of forest microclimates to population dynamics and project the distributions of 12 common understorey plants.}},
  author       = {{Sanczuk, Pieter and De Pauw, Karen and De Lombaerde, Emiel and Luoto, Miska and Meeussen, Camille and Govaert, Sanne and Vanneste, Thomas and Depauw, Leen and Brunet, Jörg and Cousins, Sara A. O. and Gasperini, Cristina and Hedwall, Per-Ola and Iacopetti, Giovanni and Lenoir, Jonathan and Plue, Jan and Selvi, Federico and Spicher, Fabien and Uria-Diez, Jaime and Verheyen, Kris and Vangansbeke, Pieter and De Frenne, Pieter}},
  issn         = {{1758-678X}},
  journal      = {{NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE}},
  keywords     = {{INTEGRAL PROJECTION MODELS,SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONS,BIOTIC INTERACTIONS,RESPONSES,RANGE,IMPACTS,LIFE}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{8}},
  pages        = {{840--847}},
  title        = {{Microclimate and forest density drive plant population dynamics under climate change}},
  url          = {{http://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01744-y}},
  volume       = {{13}},
  year         = {{2023}},
}
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