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Why we should be suspicious of conspiracy theories : a novel demarcation problem

Maarten Boudry (UGent)
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Abstract
What, if anything, is wrong with conspiracy theories (CTs)? A conspiracy refers to a group of people acting in secret to achieve some nefarious goal. Given that the pages of history are full of such plots, however, why are CTs often regarded with suspicion and even disdain? According to "particularism," the currently dominant view among philosophers, each CT should be evaluated on its own merits and the negative reputation of CTs as a class is wholly undeserved. In this paper, I defend a moderate version of "generalism," the view that there is indeed something prima facie suspicious about CTs, properly defined, and that they suffer from common epistemic defects. To demarcate legitimate theorizing about real-life conspiracies from "mere conspiracy theories" (in the pejorative sense), I draw on a deep asymmetry between causes and effects in the natural world. Because of their extreme resilience to counterevidence, CTs can be seen as the epistemological equivalent of black holes, in which unwary truth-seekers are drawn, never to escape. Finally, by presenting a generic "recipe" for generating novel CTs around any given event, regardless of the circumstances and the available evidence, I rescue the intuitions beneath colloquial phrases like "That's just a conspiracy theory."
Keywords
conspiracy theories, epistemology, causal asymmetry, falsifiability, generalism, particularism, underdetermination by evidence, demarcation problem, SCIENCE, BELIEF

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MLA
Boudry, Maarten. “Why We Should Be Suspicious of Conspiracy Theories : A Novel Demarcation Problem.” EPISTEME-A JOURNAL OF INDIVIDUAL AND SOCIAL EPISTEMOLOGY, vol. 20, no. 3, 2023, pp. 611–31, doi:10.1017/epi.2022.34.
APA
Boudry, M. (2023). Why we should be suspicious of conspiracy theories : a novel demarcation problem. EPISTEME-A JOURNAL OF INDIVIDUAL AND SOCIAL EPISTEMOLOGY, 20(3), 611–631. https://doi.org/10.1017/epi.2022.34
Chicago author-date
Boudry, Maarten. 2023. “Why We Should Be Suspicious of Conspiracy Theories : A Novel Demarcation Problem.” EPISTEME-A JOURNAL OF INDIVIDUAL AND SOCIAL EPISTEMOLOGY 20 (3): 611–31. https://doi.org/10.1017/epi.2022.34.
Chicago author-date (all authors)
Boudry, Maarten. 2023. “Why We Should Be Suspicious of Conspiracy Theories : A Novel Demarcation Problem.” EPISTEME-A JOURNAL OF INDIVIDUAL AND SOCIAL EPISTEMOLOGY 20 (3): 611–631. doi:10.1017/epi.2022.34.
Vancouver
1.
Boudry M. Why we should be suspicious of conspiracy theories : a novel demarcation problem. EPISTEME-A JOURNAL OF INDIVIDUAL AND SOCIAL EPISTEMOLOGY. 2023;20(3):611–31.
IEEE
[1]
M. Boudry, “Why we should be suspicious of conspiracy theories : a novel demarcation problem,” EPISTEME-A JOURNAL OF INDIVIDUAL AND SOCIAL EPISTEMOLOGY, vol. 20, no. 3, pp. 611–631, 2023.
@article{01GQJ2ETD7E96MV5FF4JQSTKDW,
  abstract     = {{What, if anything, is wrong with conspiracy theories (CTs)? A conspiracy refers to a group of people acting in secret to achieve some nefarious goal. Given that the pages of history are full of such plots, however, why are CTs often regarded with suspicion and even disdain? According to "particularism," the currently dominant view among philosophers, each CT should be evaluated on its own merits and the negative reputation of CTs as a class is wholly undeserved. In this paper, I defend a moderate version of "generalism," the view that there is indeed something prima facie suspicious about CTs, properly defined, and that they suffer from common epistemic defects. To demarcate legitimate theorizing about real-life conspiracies from "mere conspiracy theories" (in the pejorative sense), I draw on a deep asymmetry between causes and effects in the natural world. Because of their extreme resilience to counterevidence, CTs can be seen as the epistemological equivalent of black holes, in which unwary truth-seekers are drawn, never to escape. Finally, by presenting a generic "recipe" for generating novel CTs around any given event, regardless of the circumstances and the available evidence, I rescue the intuitions beneath colloquial phrases like "That's just a conspiracy theory."}},
  author       = {{Boudry, Maarten}},
  issn         = {{1742-3600}},
  journal      = {{EPISTEME-A JOURNAL OF INDIVIDUAL AND SOCIAL EPISTEMOLOGY}},
  keywords     = {{conspiracy theories,epistemology,causal asymmetry,falsifiability,generalism,particularism,underdetermination by evidence,demarcation problem,SCIENCE,BELIEF}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{3}},
  pages        = {{611--631}},
  title        = {{Why we should be suspicious of conspiracy theories : a novel demarcation problem}},
  url          = {{http://doi.org/10.1017/epi.2022.34}},
  volume       = {{20}},
  year         = {{2023}},
}

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